Since the beginning of the only one solution movement the original institutor crew has ramified to a research team and this team which tries to spread the ideology creating more research teams.
For obvious reasons we can’t reveal here the research’s so far conclusions, but we did find it very important to raise a few general directions of study with a few specific ideas, mainly for brain storming inception, inspiration, motivation and of course because all of them are relevant practical implementation options.
In the hardest moments, when it seems huge and intangible, please remember for whom you are doing it and why. We know it is a very complicated mission and how easy it is to think about failure. Please try to think what it means to succeed. A sufferless world is the biggest motivation possible.
Pathogens and Biotechnology
Pandemics and the way you should examine them
Carbon Sinks
Albedo
Methane Hydrates
Volcanic Global Effects
Albedo
The global climate is a result of many complicated systems that interact over millions of years and energy that is transferred over millions of kilometers. Among the great number of variables that influence the earth's conditions a very basic one stands out - the earth’s reflectance of solar radiation, also called albedo.
All of earth's surface energy can be traced back to radiation from the sun (except for the energy from the earth’s core that remains mostly locked within). The sun is the first link in the chain of practically all the climate events. Therefore the radiation amount that enters the planet’s energy cycle, of the total radiation that hits the earth, has a great significance.
On the average the earth absorbs about 70% of the solar flux, while the remaining 30% reflects back to space without ever entering earth's energy cycle (30% albedo).
In fact, this element has such a major implications on the climate that according to climatologists if the earth reflected just 3% more sunlight (33% albedo) it could plunge the planet into a climate similar to that of the last ice age. If the albedo dropped to 27%, the effect would be comparable to a fivefold increase in the atmospheric concentration of carbon dioxide.
According to a resent NASA publication a drop of as little as a hundredth (some say even only half) in Earth’s albedo would have a warming influence on climate close to the effect of doubling the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere.
Of the total 340 W/m2 (Watts per square Meter) incoming of solar radiation at the top of the earth's atmosphere 107 W/m2 is reflected back. 77 W/m2 is reflected by clouds and by the atmosphere, and the rest is reflected back into space from Earth's surface.
The albedo scale of the different materials that make up the earth's surface range wildly according to their brightness. Across the planet's surface the frozen region’s albedo is by far higher then of the rest (light colored ice and snow are very weakly absorptive, reflecting 85- 90% of incoming solar energy, with fresh snow reaching up to 95%), followed by dry sandy surfaces and deserts (that averagely reflect about 45% and 25% respectively). Dark-colored land and ocean surfaces (covering approximately 70% of the earth), are strongly absorptive and contribute to warming, reflecting only 10-20% of the incoming solar energy, with charcoal, one of the darkest substances reflecting merely 4%. In other words most of the planet's surface has a very low albedo and thus absorbs large amounts of heat, reflecting no more than 10-20% of the energy back.
Those frozen zones, (naturally over the poles) that make up about 10% of the earth surface and their extensive reflectance play a major role in the entire planet climate.
Scientists warn that the earth's albedo is in decline as a result of global warming.
The albedo decline causes a positive feedback effect.
Rising temperatures increase melting of snow and ice, reducing surface reflectance, thereby increasing solar absorption, which raises temperatures, further warming the planet, especially in those regions.
Polar regions are expected to be one of the first regions to be affected by global warming and would likely experience greater warming than the rest of the world, on average twice as fast. Evidence has validated these gaps - while the world as a whole warmed about 1 degree Celsius over the entire 20th century, parts of the North Pole (the Arctic) have warmed by 4-5° Celsius just since the 50's.
The glaciers have been melting over the past few decades, and lakes have formed on the surfaces in most areas of the world. Mountain glaciers all over the planet are melting, the ones near the equator have been particularly hard-hit.
Snow and ice cover near the North Pole is currently decreasing at approximately 0.4% per year.
It is considered the most sensitive and prone for melting of all frozen regions. This is because the Arctic consists of frozen ocean regions and not frozen land (as opposed to the Antarctica), and the ocean has a warming influence during the entire year. During summer season (in July, when the North Pole is tilted towards the sun) the ocean is able to absorb considerable quantities of sunlight which are then converted into heat. This heat stored in the ocean is carried over into the winter season (water has a higher heat capacity than land and exhibit smaller seasonal temperature variations). Therefore it becomes more difficult for ice to form during the following autumn and winter.
Arctic sea ice typically expands most in march and shrinks most in September. Each year the recovery of the ice from summer melt-down lessens. 2006 was the fourth lowest on record since the start of satellite record-keeping, 3 decades ago, and just slightly short of the all time minimum recorded in 2005. In November 2006 the frozen parts of the sea, covered an area that was two million sq km less than the historical average, an area the size of Alaska.
The September rate of sea ice decline is now up to -8.6% per decade, or 60,421 sq km (23,328 sq miles) per year.
A resent computer modeling that took into account the positive feedback effect of an increasing amount of water in the North Pole each summer, concluded that the arctic may be almost free of all summer ice by as early as 2040.
The scientists added that this feedback mechanism would fully kick in, without the need of a dramatic event, but by one year slightly warmer than normal. Very rapid retreat would then follow.
So far the recorded melting is actually occurring faster than computer climate models have predicted, up to four times the rate.
Actually, the dynamic arctic region draws plenty of attention as temperatures increase, also for its role in the global ocean circulation. The addition of just melted cold fresh water to the salty oceans could change global ocean circulation patterns (for example scientists are worried over the halt of the heated Gulf stream from the Atlantic to Europe that will plunge the entire area to a drastically colder weather). Also the melting of ice masses in the arctic is likely to contribute significantly to global sea-level rise, and in addition the arctic tundra stores huge amounts of carbon (as methane and carbon dioxide), which could be released to the atmosphere during melting, further enhancing the greenhouse effect and global warming.
Each year a new record of lowest arctic ice levels surpassed the previous one's.
The minimum arctic ice extent is usually in early to mid September, but in 2007 the conditions in early August had already beaten all previous records.
According to the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC) that specializes in data gathering at the end of the melt season, September 2007 sea ice was 39 percent below the long-term average from 1979 to 2000. If ship and aircraft records from before the satellite era are taken into account, sea ice may have fallen by as much as 50 percent from the 1950s. The September rate of sea ice decline since 1979 is now approximately 10 percent per decade, or 72,000 square kilometers (28,000 square miles) per year. Just to give a sense of how dramatic the changes have been over the last 28 years the reduction is a little bit larger than the size of California and Texas combined.
Though already occurring in rapid speed as it is – there are methods to target this frozen region (and others), turning them from highly reflective zones to highly absorptive.
The study of initiatives to manipulate the albedo of the Arctic goes back to the 50’s by both the US and the Soviet military.
During the early 60's Mikhail Budyko, the most prominent Russian climate expert along with other scientists speculated about how to alter the global climate by strewing dark dust or soot across the Arctic snow and ice. Spreading absorbent particles in the atmosphere above was also considered. Both the Soviets and the American experts agreed the Arctic ice might not re-form after melted.
This idea and others about modifying local climate were eventually turned down largely out of fear from their long-termed global effects.
